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Deteriorating China economic fundamentals have produced deflationary pressures that are already moderating inflation both in China and in the global markets served by Chinese goods.
Also weak Chinese domestic investment and broad-based excess capacity in manufacturing, as well as weak sales of new homes and land, are likely to continue to depress global commodity demand.
There is concensus that the stimulus released by China government is less sufficient to stimulate the economy to achieve sustainable growth. On the flip side, it is bound to fall into the rut for the economy if Beijing’s stimulus measures have been investment-driven rather than consumer-driven.China government can ill afford to be wrong in terms of policy making down the road.
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