China schedules meeting expected to reveal fiscal stimulus

By John Barbon

China will hold a highly anticipated meeting to reveal fiscal stimulus, which may include more monetary policy to support embattled property market as well as consumption.

China’s economy is not yet out of the woods, which grew by an annual 4.8% in the first three quarters of the year, slightly slower than the 5% pace observed in the combined first half of the year. Beijing has a target of around 5% economic growth for the whole of 2024.

Facing more economic challenges, investors have been awaiting more news in terms of any details about fiscal stimulus, including once more pressing ahead with adjusting national budget or deficit. Recent Chinese stimulus measures have undercored the need for more fiscal support.

The People's Bank of China has cut various rates and extended real estate support, and China equity market surged in the weeks after Septemer meeting, with trading turning volitle in the absence of more concrete measures.

Many economists have tempered expectations in terms of large scale fiscal stimulus would directly pillar consumption, instead noting that struggling local governmnet would likely get the support first. To be honest, there is more room for Chinese government to adjust deficit and issue bonds, strengthening fiscal and monetary policy is a very critical step to survive China economy which is currently on the edge of abyss.

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