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China’s economic challenges have given rise to deflationary pressures that present a global concern and are likely to accelerate in the coming quarters. The stimulative measures are far less sufficient to push the economic recovery, the deteriorating economic fundamentals need more targeted measures.
Par for the course, a government-led push to stimulate and stabilize growth through easy credit, especially to state-owned enterprises and for infrastructure investment, has not been enough to offset the drag from property market, as the flow of new credit to the economy has contracted over the past year.
If we dig into the issue, the lack of confidence, no matter households or businesses, is the real stickpoint of economic deterioration. How to lift the confidence and stimulate consumption tooth and nail is what the government really needs to do, rather than only relying on state-owned enterprises and infrastructure. Because only consumption is the real catylast of China economic recovery.
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